Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Aubry will count with a majority and a patchwork opponent determined


Preserve me from my friends, I am responsible for my enemies. "Since yesterday, Martine Aubry could endorse the formula Talleyrand. To rebuild a party deeply divided and undermined by weeks of fighting, it will have to dial a "government" based primarily on its bulky support: fabiusiens the one hand, and Strauss-kahniens, of another. The task is immense, but the road is narrow.

Rue de Solferino, the mayor of Lille will, in a sense, under house arrest. Of the 51 seats won by the national council to 24% achieved in the voting on motions, fabiusiens have recovered 23, before the close of the new first secretary (14) and Strauss-kahniens grouped behind Jean-Christophe Cambadélis (7). We will have these valuable reward supporters for their help. The fabiusien Claude Bartolone does not agree: "If our project was not really a joint project, we would have already had to spend a notary for what amounts to everyone! We still have not negotiate who does what. "
"Very good state of mind"

Hard to imagine that Martine Aubry is not torn between carp and rabbits. " The two schools had scarves on the European referendum in 2005 and during the primary in 2006. The enemies have united behind Martine Aubry to block Ségolène Royal and Bertrand Delanoë. The latter being behind Ségolène Royal and now discarded, how will these allies include a moment? How, in these circumstances find the strength to renew, reform, to reformulate also a political project? "You would be surprised to see the work of homogenization that has succeeded Martine Aubry between carp and rabbits!, Continues Claude Bartolone. As she said herself, she can no longer recognize each other! "

In addition to its "friends", Martine Aubry must also contend with Ségolène Royal, which represents the first internal opposition force and has already taken to date in 2012 (see below). For now, the two women, who met yesterday, play appeasement. "We have worked in a good mood, very constructive," said Ségolène Royal. I reminded Martinez that 50% of the militants had expressed a strong desire to transform the party. "
A little freedom

As for Bertrand Delanoë, he officially supported Martine Aubry against Ségolène Royal, but he still considers having been manipulated by the new first secretary at the Congress of Reims. Finally, François Hollande, including Martine Aubry was the trial of his years at the helm of the party, is not part of the fan club "Martine".

Some friends, real enemies and false friends: the path is narrow. It needs a first time win a little freedom. "The best way to loosen the stranglehold of his friends is to appeal to people close to Bertrand Delanoë or Ségolène Royal," said an expert of the party. As Gerard Collomb, support of the former candidate for the presidential election, whose absence at the national council Tuesday night was discussed, and Jean-Noel Guerini, boss of the federation of the Bouches-du-Rhone and "partisan "Of Ségolène Royal, who confided after the election of Martine Aubry:" I can do nothing to prevent the first secretary of labor. "

Finally, the crisis was such that, paradoxically, it could serve Martine Aubry. Each side has understood that the disaster was narrowly avoided and that, under penalty of being permanently discredited among activists, it is better not to put (on) sticks in the wheels of the coach already brinquebalant the first secretary.

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